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GRAB to Report Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?

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Key Takeaways

  • Grab Holdings' Q3 earnings are expected to rise 100%, with revenues projected to grow 22.9% year over year.
  • Strong delivery, Mobility and Financial Services growth may boost GRAB's revenues amid rising fuel costs.
  • GRAB's $1.49B Atome deal supports expansion, but competition and higher incentives pressure margins.

Grab Holdings (GRAB - Free Report) is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2026 results on Nov. 2, after the market closes. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter’s earnings per share is pegged at 2 cents and revenues at $1.07 billion.

The bottom-line projection indicates year-over-year growth of 100%. The consensus mark for the to-be-reported quarter has remained stable over the past 60 days. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues implies 22.9% year-over-year growth.

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

For 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for GRAB’s revenues is pegged at $4.22 billion, implying a 25.3% year-over-year uptick. The consensus mark for 2026 EPS is pegged at 14 cents, indicating a year-over-year improvement of 133.4%.

The company’s earnings beat estimates in one of the past four quarters, missing the mark on the other three occasions. The average beat was 50%.

Q3 Earnings Whispers for GRAB

Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for GRAB for the September quarter. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. That is not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

GRAB has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Factors Likely to Shape GRAB’s Q3 Performance

We expect the still-ongoing macro uncertainty due to the Middle East conflict to have dented GRAB’s performance in the September quarter. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has resulted in a sharp jump in oil prices. Apart from fuel price volatility, inflationary pressures are likely to have dented GRAB’s third-quarter bottom-line performance as well.

On the contrary, the company's top-line performance is likely to have benefited from strong growth in its delivery business, driven by higher On-Demand Gross Merchandise Value (“GMV”) and advertising revenues. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for delivery revenues is currently pegged at $536.3 million for the third quarter of 2026, implying a 22.2% increase from the year-ago reported figure.

Robust momentum in the Mobility and Financial Services segments is also expected to have supported overall performance. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mobility revenues is pegged at $353 million, compared with $317 million reported a year ago. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Financial Services revenues is pegged at $173 million, compared with $90 million reported a year ago.

GRAB Underperforms on Price Front

Shares of GRAB have declined substantially over the past three months, underperforming the Zacks internet-software industry. The company has also lagged peers like Uber Technologies (UBER - Free Report) and Lyft (LYFT - Free Report) . While Uber has declined in single digits (% -wise), Lyft’s shares have gained over the past three months.

3-Month Price Comparison

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

On the basis of the forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S), GRAB’s shares are trading at a discount compared with the industry average. GRAB and Lyft each currently have a Value Score of B. Uber, meanwhile, has a value score of C.

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

Investment Thesis for GRAB Stock

Last month, Grab inked a deal to purchase a controlling 60% equity interest in Atome Financial, the digital financial services platform of Advance Intelligence Group Limited, for $1.49 billion in cash, out of which $0.26 billion is primary growth capital (Phase 1). The Phase 1 deal is being funded entirely from GRAB’s existing cash.

Subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions, the deal is anticipated to be completed by the third quarter of 2027. The deal closure will witness the merger of Atome Financial into GRAB’s Financial Services segment. Meanwhile, Atome Financial’s management team will continue to boost its business.

However, it is worth noting that Grab continues to battle aggressive regional rivals. This forces the company to sustain high promotional spending and compresses its profit margins. In its core ride-hailing and food delivery markets across Southeast Asia, Grab faces intense pricing pressure from established players as well as emerging low-margincompetitors.

As Southeast Asian economies rely heavily on imported energy, localized fuel shocks directly impact driver earnings and operational overhead. To prevent driver churn, Grab has had to shell out a significant amount in partner incentives (in second-quarter 2026, driver incentives per monthly active driver rose 12% year over year) to subsidize fuel costs, thereby increasing its operating expenses and hurting the bottom line.

So, all in all, it is worth holding on to GRAB stock for now. Betting on the stock ahead of its upcoming results does not seem like a good idea. It is better to wait for management’s commentary on Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, apart from the updated 2026 revenue guidance, to get more clarity on near-term prospects.  

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